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Is the Novel Coronavirus peaking?

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A patient being wheeled into a hospital. China Daily

In Japan, six more people on the quarantined Diamond Princess cruise ship in Yokohama have tested positive, a government source said Sunday, raising the total on the vessel to 70 while experts ponder on whether the outbreak is reaching its peak.

In addition, about 100 people are reportedly complaining about physical problems, including fever.

Medical institutions have tested 336 of the ship’s 3,700 passengers.

As of Sunday evening, total confirmed cases in Japan stood at 96, including the 70 on the Diamond Princess.

The cruise ship was put under quarantine after a passenger who disembarked in Hong Kong was found infected with the pneumonia-causing virus.

Including those on the ship, Japan has the second-largest number of confirmed cases outside China. Singapore is in third with 40 cases, followed by Thailand with 32, South Korea with 27, and Hong Kong with 26, according to NHK.

The government does not include the 70 on the ship in its statistical total for Japan, following the guidance of the World Health Organization. Under this interpretation, Japan’s total for confirmed infections is 26.

Joseph Eisenberg, professor of epidemiology at the School of Public Health at the University of Michigan, said it was too early to say whether the epidemic was peaking.

“Even if reported cases might be peaking, we don’t know what is happening with unreported cases,” he said. “This is especially an issue in some of the more rural areas.” Japan Times

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